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Global Mining Investing is a reference eBook to teach investors how to think and act as investors with a underlying theme of managing risk. The book touches on a huge amount of content which heavily relies on knowledge that can only be obtained through experience...The text was engaging, as I knew the valuable outcome was to be a better thinker and investor.

While some books (such as Coulson’s An Insider’s Guide to the Mining Sector) focus on one particular commodity this book (Global Mining Investing) attempts (and does well) to cover all types of mining and commodities.

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Sunday, April 06, 2008

Australian Agricultural Company (AAC.ASX)

I have watched with interest as Australian Agricultural Company (AAC.ASX) has fallen from $3.50 to $2.50. At that level the stock is at an important support. But before recommending this stock, there is reason for thinking it will fall back to $2.00.
1. Drought: Although there has been drought relief across Australia, and AAC's areas received good relief rains last year, according to the following map a great number of the company's farmlands remain in severe drought - that is they have experienced a severe deficiency of rain over the last 6 months.
2. Stronger AUD: I am expecting a stronger AUD because of rising interest rates in Australia, but stable rates in the USA.
3. Rising costs: The high price of oil is likely to greatly impact on this company's profitability, as well as more general increases in the cost of living.

Drought relief and stronger beef prices offer alot of upside from the $2.00 support, particularly as I expect that after the Nov'08 US presidential elections we will see a return to the 'strong USD' policy, or perhaps better stated 'stronger'. I think there are some austerity measures ahead for the USA. That means - higher taxes (or a return of the taxes previously lowered) and higher interest rates to encourage greater savings in the USA.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com
Posted by Andrew Sheldon at 9:44 AM

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