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Sunday, February 03, 2008

CSR Ltd (CSR)

On the topic of food, CSR strikes me as close to a buy. The stock is destined for a technical breakout. Sugar prices are trading - http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/SU/M are just commencing a rally after a significant pullback. Apart from a food additive, sugar is increasingly being used for ethanol production. Australia is not the lowest cost producer, all the more reason why CSR should rally hard, because its tight margins from sugar milling should benefit from higher prices. It seems probable that CSR will find support above $3.00, but there is downside to $2.80 given the current financial strife. Without doing more research I wouldn't be surprised to see them fall to $2.50, another stronger support.

There is reason for caution however based on the following report - see www.tradingmarkets.com/.site/news/Stock%20News/792812.
Wondering if there is any unfavourable hedging in there as the CFO has resigned. One of the chief reasons for the fall in earnings was the drop in sugar prices and strong AUD. Sugar prices will rise again, but its unfortunate that building products - the other core division i s set to be a future drag on earnings. Having said that, with the current property boom over in Australia, people are likely to invest in home improvements. Anyway check out the latest thoughts and contributions from readers at http://finance.google.com/group/google.finance.674217/messages.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com
Posted by Andrew Sheldon at 8:49 PM
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